Max’s AFL Footy Bets for Round 12 2012
Posted by Max ProphetJun 14. 2012 11:22 am
ONE bye week done and dusted, two to go. Fair to say this week’s games are somewhat affected as teams coming of the rest tackle those that played last week – which team has the upper hand?
The good: The away teams. A most unusual round in which the visiting teams managed to take home the spoils in every match. This is not usually a good sign for punters and with the Swans and Dockers upstaging the Bombers and Dockers respectively, this punter was left crying in his soup!
The bad: Melbourne; but this is good news for Demons fans as they’ve been labouring in the ‘ugly’ section for the best part of the year. Let’s hope they can continue their climb up the awards list and gain a spot in the ‘good’ before year’s end!
The ugly: Essendon – seriously, 2 goals 15 behinds at three quarter time? 9 goals 1 behind in the last quarter to lose by 4 points – ridiculous!
Let’s take a look at all the games in Round 12:
West Coast ($1.27) vs. Carlton ($3.95):
The Eagles should take the field well rested (courtesy of the bye), hungry for a victory (courtesy of the Lions) and eager to wrestle back top spot on the ladder (courtesy of the Pies bye). They welcome back Shuey, but lose Waters, who has been great as an attacking defender in the first half of the year. The Blues have travelled pretty well when going east and regain Scotland and Carrazzo, both dependable in terms of possessions and efficiency of disposal, which will be key if the wet weather continues in Perth. In contrast, the three ruck combination may be tested on a big wet track. It would be remiss of anyone discussing this game to omit the ‘Judd’ name given his prowess for both clubs, and I’m sure Worsfold will ensure the damage he inflicts is manageable. They’re strong favourites, but I’m keen on the Eagles winning this one.
Suggested bet: Eagles to win @ $1.27
Adelaide ($1.44) vs. St Kilda ($2.80):
Another game which sees a team (Adelaide) fresh off the bye! I’ve been really impressed with the efforts of both teams to date and expect a great contest likely to be in the balance until the dying stages. The Crows just keep finding stars with the likes Sloane, Dangerfield, Tippet, Walker and Jacobs all raising their game to new levels. The Saints seem to have turned back the clock and their attack on the ball resembles their 09/10 seasons – Lenny Hayes? I liked the way they chalked up a ‘kill’ last week (Suns) and they again appear thirsty for success. If Sam Fisher and Ben McEvoy return (as expected) it will be an enormous boost to their aspirations. One thing is for sure, it will not be another 103 point hiding by the Saints as it was last time they met!
Suggested bet: Crows to win @ $1.44
Greater Western Sydney ($15.00) vs. Richmond ($1.02):
Let’s hope #1 pick Jon Patton takes the field as predicted by GWS insiders. This would certainly add some spice to a game that should really roll Richmond’s way. A Cameron/Patton one-two punch up forward would be a formidable task should their potential and progression be realised. The Tigers, now safely at arms length from a top eight position, should chalk up another win. We’ll assess them again when they get near a finals spot and the pressure begins to mount.
Suggested bet: None.
Gold Coast ($6.00) vs. Kangaroos ($1.15):
The Suns continue to struggle and don’t look likely to trouble the more mature AFL teams at present. It will be interesting to see how the Roos respond though, given the hiding they copped from Hawthorn (115 points) and the resignation of CEO Eugene Arocca prior to the bye. I keep expecting more from the Roos on the basis they’ve Brad Scott at the helm alone, yet nothing he does or says seems to propel his troops as expected. Let’s hope the events of the last couple of weeks combines with a bye can generate some quality football.
Suggested bet: None.
Hawthorn ($1.07) vs. Brisbane ($8.50):
The Hawks seemingly have their mojo back (won 5 of last 6) and a travelling Lions outfit will surely be nervous taking them on at the MCG. Brad Sewell is becoming the barometer of the Hawks and his performances this year have largely reflected that of his teams’. The return of Simon Black will be a plus for the Lions, but I can’t see them troubling the rampant Hawks.
Suggested bet: Hawks to win @ $1.26)
Western Bulldogs ($1.47) vs. Port Adelaide ($2.07):
Whilst level on the AFL ladder, the Bulldogs have had the measure of the Power winning their last 5 contests by an average of 53 points. They too come off the bye and provided this is a positive and does not cause lethargy, I suspect they may prove too string in the end. The Power have been in pretty good form having won three on the trot before succumbing to the Hawks last week. If they can reproduce that form they can give this a shake.
Suggested bet: Bulldogs to win @ $1.47
Kitty: -$900
Stupidly, I think we can get them all – this week’s wagers:
- Multi: Eagles, Crows, Tigers, Roos, Hawks and Dogs for $100 @ $3.37
Let’s get it on,
Max
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Tags: Footy Betting, Footy Punting
Filled under: AFL Fixture, Expert Analysis, Latest News, Round 12
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